Angel Aguilar

Founder and editor

Angel Aguilar builds and runs Vertize Sports and its sister site, Fut Simulator. He writes the data pieces on this blog: season projections, measured home advantage, and how the simulators are calibrated. Every number in his articles is counted from the same feed that runs the site, and the scripts that count them are run again when a season ends.

Articles

• How Often F1 Cars Fail to Finish, Season by Season Since 199130 September 2026
• F1 Overtaking by Circuit: Where the Grid Order Changes Most30 September 2026
• Younger Fighters Win 57 Percent of UFC Fights, 70 Percent With a 10-Year Edge30 September 2026
• Southpaws Win 53 Percent of UFC Fights Against Orthodox Opponents30 September 2026
• 18 of 91 Heisman Trophy Winners Played for the National Champion30 September 2026
• More Than Half of Golf's Majors Since 2000 Went to a First-Time Winner30 September 2026
• Men Win Grand Slams at 27 on Average, Women at 25: Champions' Ages Since 200030 September 2026
• The Supporters' Shield Winner and MLS Cup: 8 Doubles in 30 Seasons30 September 2026
• Home Teams Have Won 15 of the Last 23 Ryder Cups30 September 2026
• The AP No. 1 Lost 101 Times in 58 Seasons, and Every Loss Cost It the Top Spot30 September 2026
• Six Goals a Game Again: Every NHL Season Since 1917-18, Counted30 September 2026
• Six Conferences, 82 Percent of the At-Large Bids: March Madness Bids by Conference30 September 2026
• Promoted to the Premier League: Just Over Half Stay Up30 September 2026
• The Best Record in Baseball Now Wins the World Series About One Year in Four30 September 2026
• All Four Majors Now End a 6-All Final Set With a 10-Point Tiebreak30 September 2026
• What Happens to Super Bowl Losers the Next Season30 September 2026
• Down 3-1 in the NHL Playoffs: 32 Comebacks in 362 Series30 September 2026
• The First 20 Games Explain About 70 Percent of an NBA Team's Final Record30 September 2026
• The NBA MVP Wins the Championship About One Season in Three30 September 2026
• WNBA Scoring Reached a Record 87.1 Points a Game in 202630 September 2026
• Half of NFL Games Are Decided by One Score, and 3 Points Is the Most Common Margin30 September 2026
• Two Final Fours in 60 Tries: How Far First Four Teams Go in March Madness30 September 2026
• Winning Game 1 Has Led to a World Series Title 76 Times in 12030 September 2026
• Every WNBA MVP Since 1997, and How Often Their Team Won the Title30 September 2026
• Eight Wild Cards Have Won the World Series, About What a Coin Flip Would Give Them29 September 2026
• The AP Preseason No. 1 Has Won 14 of 64 NCAA Titles, and None Since 200929 September 2026
• F1 Title Comebacks: How Often the Championship Leader Holds On29 September 2026
• The Playoff Has Taken Three-Loss Teams Twice, Both Since It Grew to 1229 September 2026
• The Longer Reach Wins 52 Percent of UFC Fights, and Big Gaps Win More29 September 2026
• A Major Takes About 9 Under Par to Win, Unless It Is the U.S. Open29 September 2026
• Down Two Sets to Love at a Major, Men Win 6 Percent of the Time29 September 2026
• The NHL Thanksgiving Rule, Counted: 221 of 288 Made the Playoffs29 September 2026
• How Many Points Does It Take to Win the Premier League?29 September 2026
• How the WNBA Playoffs Work, and How Often the Higher Seed Wins29 September 2026
• How Often NFL Teams Go From Last Place to a Division Title29 September 2026
• NBA Teams Win 44 Percent of the Time on the Second Night of a Back-to-Back29 September 2026
• Pole Position in F1: How Often the Driver Starting First Wins28 September 2026
• One in Three New UFC Champions Loses the Belt in the First Defense28 September 2026
• A 54-Hole Lead in a Major Holds About Six Times in Ten28 September 2026
• The No. 1 Seed Wins 40 Percent of Men's Majors and 24 Percent of Women's28 September 2026
• The Presidents' Trophy Curse, Counted: 8 Cups in 40 Seasons28 September 2026
• How Many Wins Is a Run Worth? Run Differential, Pythagoras and the 2026 Tigers28 September 2026
• How Every WNBA Expansion Team Fared in Its First Season28 September 2026
• No. 1 Seeds Have Won 27 of 41 Tournaments: How Every Seed Fares in March Madness28 September 2026
• The NBA's Best Regular-Season Team Wins the Title Less Than Half the Time28 September 2026
• The AP Preseason No. 1 Has Won the Title 11 Times in 76 Seasons28 September 2026
• How NFL Overtime Works, and How Often It Ends in a Tie28 September 2026
• Does the Team Top of the Premier League at Christmas Win the Title?28 September 2026
• Can an 0-3 Team Still Make the NFL Playoffs? History, and Houston28 September 2026
• How Many Points Does It Take to Stay Up in the Premier League?28 September 2026
• The 2026 NBA Cup, Group by Group: Who Gets to Indianapolis28 September 2026
• Where Antonelli Wins the 2026 Title, and Why the Calendar Matters28 September 2026
• Does the Bye Help in the MLB Playoffs? What Four Octobers Say28 September 2026
• The 2026-27 NHL Season, Predicted Before Opening Night25 September 2026
• Goals, Draws and How Close a League Finishes17 September 2026
• The Point You Get for Losing, and Who It Saved17 September 2026
• The F1 Championship in Points: Margins, Leads and a Two-Point Year17 September 2026
• The NFL's Tiebreakers, and the Four Races They Settled17 September 2026
• Nearly a Thousand UFC Fights, Counted Round by Round17 September 2026
• Going Up: What Promotion Costs in Europe's Second Tiers28 September 2026
• How the MLS Playoffs Work, and What It Takes to Get In17 September 2026
• The Playoff Line: How Many Wins It Actually Takes17 September 2026
• Home Advantage, Measured in Six Leagues17 September 2026
• The 2026-27 NBA Season, Predicted Before Opening Night17 September 2026
• Everything UFC on Vertize Sports29 August 2026
• Everything golf on Vertize Sports29 August 2026
• Everything motorsport on Vertize Sports29 August 2026
• Everything tennis on Vertize Sports29 August 2026
• Everything college basketball on Vertize Sports29 August 2026
• Everything college football on Vertize Sports29 August 2026
• Everything WNBA on Vertize Sports26 September 2026
• Everything NHL on Vertize Sports26 September 2026
• Everything MLB on Vertize Sports26 September 2026
• Everything NBA on Vertize Sports26 September 2026
• Everything NFL on Vertize Sports26 September 2026
• Everything soccer on Vertize Sports26 September 2026
• Welcome to Vertize Sports27 August 2026

Reusing the charts

The charts in these articles are published under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 licence. You can reproduce them, in print or online, as long as you credit Vertize Sports and link to the article they come from.